Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.152606 0.177037 0.204158 0.236506 0.274055 0.316290 0.367434
2025-04-13 0.113025 0.145261 0.184877 0.237188 0.304542 0.388484 0.501278
2025-04-20 0.095740 0.132061 0.179942 0.247786 0.341656 0.467291 0.648816
2025-04-27 0.083452 0.121923 0.175622 0.256212 0.374465 0.542240 0.799508
2025-05-04 0.073950 0.113542 0.171603 0.263187 0.404595 0.615635 0.956428
2025-05-11 0.065297 0.104791 0.165313 0.265116 0.426390 0.678221 1.104177
2025-05-18 0.057413 0.095918 0.157332 0.262785 0.440404 0.729445 1.239483
2025-05-25 0.049874 0.086460 0.147001 0.254904 0.443732 0.762947 1.348706
2025-06-01 0.046129 0.082807 0.145644 0.261657 0.472154 0.841065 1.543600
2025-06-08 0.041995 0.077891 0.141423 0.262660 0.490236 0.902825 1.716445
2025-06-15 0.038951 0.074524 0.139460 0.267336 0.515258 0.979477 1.925892
2025-06-22 0.034946 0.068844 0.132553 0.261789 0.520111 1.018772 2.067908
2025-06-29 0.031690 0.064284 0.127355 0.259157 0.530796 1.071453 2.245486
2025-07-06 0.029164 0.060876 0.124014 0.259847 0.548301 1.139879 2.464924
2025-07-13 0.028028 0.060155 0.125920 0.271472 0.589726 1.261782 2.813375
2025-07-20 0.026746 0.058960 0.126684 0.280714 0.627113 1.379489 3.167996
2025-07-27 0.025428 0.057516 0.126736 0.288365 0.661859 1.495460 3.533824
2025-08-03 0.023777 0.055131 0.124456 0.290482 0.684290 1.586555 3.853700
2025-08-10 0.021937 0.052091 0.120370 0.287925 0.695497 1.653192 4.123703
2025-08-17 0.019862 0.048255 0.114032 0.279279 0.691099 1.682600 4.305917
2025-08-24 0.019031 0.047307 0.114325 0.286687 0.726782 1.812479 4.758860
2025-08-31 0.017878 0.045428 0.112182 0.287787 0.746777 1.906008 5.130004
2025-09-07 0.017049 0.044269 0.111658 0.292916 0.777689 2.030631 5.600265